Florida Atl
W-L: (13-18) PR = 93.8250Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1108 A Kennesaw St CUSA (10-17, 93.1) 69-68 1113 H Miami (Fl) ACC (18-15, 95.6) 47-79 1120 H So Alabama SB (17-19, 93.7) 63-70 1124 H Florida SEC (18-15, 95.8) 51-59 1127 A Air Force MW (16-16, 93.7) 76-71 1128 A Wright St HL ( 9-23, 92.5) 66-65 1203 A We Kentucky CUSA ( 8-21, 92.8) 47-44 1212 H Fl Gulf Co AS (14-16, 93.8) 59-70 1215 H Florida Int CUSA (21-12, 94.3) 63-80 1219 H Mass MA (24- 7, 94.8) 50-66 1220 A Florida Int CUSA (21-12, 94.3) 60-57 1230 H No Texas AME (18-14, 94.6) 56-81 103 H Rice AME (31- 5, 96.0) 75-83 107 H Memphis AME (10-21, 93.3) 66-74 110 A UAB AME (11-19, 93.5) 70-63 113 A Wichita St AME ( 7-23, 93.0) 88-64 116 H Texas-SA AME (16-17, 94.6) 42-79 120 H Charlotte AME (38-24, 94.3) 56-77 124 A So Florida AME (20-12, 95.4) 64-63 127 H Tulsa AME (19-12, 94.6) 58-77 131 H No Texas AME (18-14, 94.6) 49-67 207 A UAB AME (11-19, 93.5) 68-63 210 A Wichita St AME ( 7-23, 93.0) 79-77 214 A Tulsa AME (19-12, 94.6) 61-55 217 H Ea Carolina AME (22-10, 94.7) 61-74 221 H So Florida AME (20-12, 95.4) 55-75 224 H Charlotte AME (38-24, 94.3) 56-57 303 A Tulane AME (11-20, 93.5) 61-57 307 H Temple AME (15-17, 94.4) 56-84 310 A Charlotte AME (38-24, 94.3) 74-70 311 H No Texas AME (18-14, 94.6) 57-80
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1108 A Kennesaw St 69-68 1 1 0.27
1113 H Miami (Fl) 47-79 -32 -2 -0.21
1120 H So Alabama 63-70 -7 0 - -2.15
1124 H Florida 51-59 -8 -2 -0.05
1127 A Air Force 76-71 5 0 1.93
1128 A Wright St 66-65 1 1 -0.29
1203 A We Kentucky 47-44 3 1 0.94
1212 H Fl Gulf Co 59-70 -11 0 - -2.03
1215 H Florida Int 63-80 -17 -1 -1.49
1219 H Mass 50-66 -16 -1 -1.00
1220 A Florida Int 60-57 3 -1 + 2.53
1230 H No Texas 56-81 -25 -1 -1.19
103 H Rice 75-83 -8 -2 0.00
107 H Memphis 66-74 -8 1 - -2.55
110 A UAB 70-63 7 0 1.67
113 A Wichita St 88-64 24 1 1.15
116 H Texas-SA 42-79 -37 -1 -1.27
120 H Charlotte 56-77 -21 0 -1.51
124 A So Florida 64-63 1 -2 + 2.62
127 H Tulsa 58-77 -19 -1 -1.27
131 H No Texas 49-67 -18 -1 -1.19
207 A UAB 68-63 5 0 1.67
210 A Wichita St 79-77 2 1 1.15
214 A Tulsa 61-55 6 -1 + 2.75
217 H Ea Carolina 61-74 -13 -1 -1.17
221 H So Florida 55-75 -20 -2 -0.40
224 H Charlotte 56-57 -1 0 -0.51
303 A Tulane 61-57 4 0 1.72
307 H Temple 56-84 -28 -1 -1.44
310 A Charlotte 74-70 4 -1 + 2.51
311 H No Texas 57-80 -23 -1 -1.19
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1120 H So Alabama 63-70 -7 0 - -2.15 1212 H Fl Gulf Co 59-70 -11 0 - -2.03 107 H Memphis 66-74 -8 1 - -2.55 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1220 A Florida Int 60-57 3 -1 + 2.53 124 A So Florida 64-63 1 -2 + 2.62 214 A Tulsa 61-55 6 -1 + 2.75 310 A Charlotte 74-70 4 -1 + 2.51 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Kennesaw St (10-17, 93.1) 69-68 -6.81 4.15 0.01 0.98 8.14
3 H Miami (Fl) (18-15, 95.6) 47-79 -4.27 6.69 -0.01 0.98 -2.10
3 H So Alabama (17-19, 93.7) 63-70 -6.22 4.74 -0.01 0.98 -3.05
3 H Florida (18-15, 95.8) 51-59 -4.11 6.85 -0.01 0.98 -2.02
3 A Air Force (16-16, 93.7) 76-71 -6.16 4.80 0.01 0.98 9.43
3 A Wright St ( 9-23, 92.5) 66-65 -7.38 3.58 0.01 0.98 7.03
3 A We Kentucky ( 8-21, 92.8) 47-44 -7.15 3.81 0.01 0.98 7.49
3 H Fl Gulf Co (14-16, 93.8) 59-70 -6.10 4.86 -0.01 0.98 -2.99
3 H Florida Int (21-12, 94.3) 63-80 -5.56 5.40 -0.01 0.98 -2.73
3 H Mass (24- 7, 94.8) 50-66 -5.06 5.90 -0.01 0.98 -2.48
3 A Florida Int (21-12, 94.3) 60-57 -5.56 5.40 0.01 0.98 10.59
3 H No Texas (18-14, 94.6) 56-81 -5.25 5.71 -0.01 0.98 -2.58
3 H Rice (31- 5, 96.0) 75-83 -3.86 7.10 -0.01 0.98 -1.89
3 H Memphis (10-21, 93.3) 66-74 -6.62 4.34 -0.01 0.98 -3.24
3 A UAB (11-19, 93.5) 70-63 -6.41 4.55 0.01 0.98 8.92
3 A Wichita St ( 7-23, 93.0) 88-64 -6.94 4.02 0.01 0.98 7.90
3 H Texas-SA (16-17, 94.6) 42-79 -5.34 5.62 -0.01 0.98 -2.62
3 H Charlotte (38-24, 94.3) 56-77 -5.57 5.39 -0.01 0.98 -2.73
3 A So Florida (20-12, 95.4) 64-63 -4.47 6.49 0.01 0.98 12.73
3 H Tulsa (19-12, 94.6) 58-77 -5.34 5.62 -0.01 0.98 -2.62
3 H No Texas (18-14, 94.6) 49-67 -5.25 5.71 -0.01 0.98 -2.58
3 A UAB (11-19, 93.5) 68-63 -6.41 4.55 0.01 0.98 8.92
3 A Wichita St ( 7-23, 93.0) 79-77 -6.94 4.02 0.01 0.98 7.90
3 A Tulsa (19-12, 94.6) 61-55 -5.34 5.62 0.01 0.98 11.03
3 H Ea Carolina (22-10, 94.7) 61-74 -5.23 5.73 -0.01 0.98 -2.57
3 H So Florida (20-12, 95.4) 55-75 -4.47 6.49 -0.01 0.98 -2.19
3 H Charlotte (38-24, 94.3) 56-57 -5.57 5.39 -0.01 0.98 -2.73
3 A Tulane (11-20, 93.5) 61-57 -6.36 4.60 0.01 0.98 9.02
3 H Temple (15-17, 94.4) 56-84 -5.50 5.46 -0.01 0.98 -2.70
3 A Charlotte (38-24, 94.3) 74-70 -5.57 5.39 0.01 0.98 10.56
3 H No Texas (18-14, 94.6) 57-80 -5.25 5.71 -0.01 0.98 -2.58
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73.29
|
winning pts = 119.6710 losing points = -46.3827
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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